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Data Interview Question

Convergence of a Custom Die

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To solve the problem of determining the average number of iterations needed for a custom die to converge to a state where all six faces show the same number, we can adopt a simulation-based approach. This method is practical given the stochastic nature of the problem and the complexity involved in deriving an analytical solution. Below, I outline the steps and reasoning behind this approach:

Solution & Explanation

Understanding the Problem:

  • Initial Setup: You start with a standard 6-sided die and roll it six times to determine the numbers that will be inscribed on a new die.
  • Iterative Process: Each new die is created based on the outcomes of rolling the previous die six times. This process continues until a die is created with all faces showing the same number.
  • Objective: Calculate the average number of iterations required to reach a state where all six faces of the die are identical.

Simulation Approach:

  1. Simulate Die Rolls:

    • Use a random number generator to simulate rolling a die six times.
    • Record the outcomes and use them to label the faces of a new die.
  2. Iterate Until Convergence:

    • Repeat the rolling process for the newly created die.
    • Continue this iterative process until a die is created where all six faces display the same number.
  3. Track Iterations:

    • Maintain a counter to track the number of iterations taken to achieve convergence.
  4. Repeat the Simulation:

    • Conduct multiple simulation runs (e.g., 10,000 or more) to ensure statistical significance.
    • Calculate the average number of iterations across all runs to estimate the expected number of iterations needed.

Pseudo Code:

import random

def simulate_die_convergence(num_simulations=10000):
    total_iterations = 0
    
    for _ in range(num_simulations):
        iterations = 0
        die = list(range(1, 7))
        
        while len(set(die)) > 1:
            iterations += 1
            die = [random.choice(die) for _ in range(6)]
        
        total_iterations += iterations
    
    return total_iterations / num_simulations

# Example usage
average_iterations = simulate_die_convergence()
print(f"Average iterations to convergence: {average_iterations}")

Explanation:

  • Random Choice: The random.choice(die) function simulates the roll of a die by randomly selecting one of the current die's faces.
  • Set Function: The set(die) function checks for convergence by ensuring all elements in the list are the same.
  • Loop Until Convergence: The while loop continues until all faces of the die are identical.

Conclusion:

This simulation-based approach provides a practical way to estimate the average number of iterations required for convergence. While an analytical solution might be possible through Markov chain analysis, the simulation offers a straightforward and intuitive method to tackle the problem, especially in an interview setting where complex calculations may not be feasible. By explaining this approach clearly, you can demonstrate your problem-solving skills and understanding of stochastic processes.