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Pearson's correlation coefficient, denoted as r, is a measure of the linear relationship between two variables X and Y. Its value ranges from -1 to 1. To understand why this is the case, we can delve into the mathematical underpinnings of the formula and the principles that confine r within this range.
The correlation coefficient r is defined as:
corr(X,Y)=σXσYCov(X,Y)
Where:
Covariance measures how much two random variables change together, while variance measures how much a single variable deviates from its mean. The covariance can be expressed as:
Cov(X,Y)=E[(X−μX)(Y−μY)]
Where E denotes the expected value, and μX and μY are the means of X and Y respectively.
The Cauchy-Schwarz inequality states:
∣E[(X−μX)(Y−μY)]∣2≤E[(X−μX)2]E[(Y−μY)2]
This can be rewritten in terms of variance:
∣Cov(X,Y)∣2≤Var(X)⋅Var(Y)
Taking the square root of both sides gives:
∣Cov(X,Y)∣≤σXσY
Substituting this result into the correlation formula:
−1≤σXσYCov(X,Y)≤1
Thus, the correlation coefficient r is bounded between -1 and 1.
Pearson's correlation can also be interpreted geometrically as the cosine of the angle θ between the centered data vectors X−μX and Y−μY:
corr(X,Y)=cos(θ)
Since the range of cosine is [−1,1], this provides an intuitive geometric reason why r must lie between -1 and 1.
The Pearson correlation coefficient is a standardized measure of the linear relationship between two variables, confined to the range [-1, 1] due to the properties of covariance, variance, and the Cauchy-Schwarz inequality. This range is further reinforced by the geometric interpretation of correlation as the cosine of the angle between two vectors.