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Data Interview Question

2X Exceeding Y

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Solution & Explanation

To solve the problem of finding the probability that 2X>Y2X > Y where XX and YY are independent standard normal random variables, we need to consider the transformation of these variables and the properties of normal distributions.

Step-by-Step Explanation

  1. Understanding the Variables:

    • XX and YY are standard normal random variables. This means XN(0,1)X \sim N(0, 1) and YN(0,1)Y \sim N(0, 1).
    • We are tasked with finding P(2X>Y)P(2X > Y).
  2. Reformulating the Problem:

    • The inequality 2X>Y2X > Y can be rewritten as 2XY>02X - Y > 0.
    • We need to find P(2XY>0)P(2X - Y > 0).
  3. Distribution of the Linear Combination:

    • Since XX and YY are independent, the linear combination 2XY2X - Y will also be normally distributed.
    • The mean of 2XY2X - Y is given by: E(2XY)=2E(X)E(Y)=2×00=0E(2X - Y) = 2E(X) - E(Y) = 2 \times 0 - 0 = 0
    • The variance of 2XY2X - Y is given by: Var(2XY)=4×Var(X)+Var(Y)=4×1+1=5\text{Var}(2X - Y) = 4 \times \text{Var}(X) + \text{Var}(Y) = 4 \times 1 + 1 = 5
    • Therefore, 2XYN(0,5)2X - Y \sim N(0, 5).
  4. Symmetry of the Normal Distribution:

    • The normal distribution N(0,5)N(0, 5) is symmetric about the mean, which is 0.
    • The probability that a normally distributed variable is greater than its mean is 0.5 due to this symmetry.
  5. Conclusion:

    • Thus, the probability that 2X>Y2X > Y is: P(2XY>0)=0.5P(2X - Y > 0) = 0.5

This result stems from the properties of the normal distribution and the transformation of the original variables into a new normally distributed variable. The symmetry of the normal distribution around its mean ensures that the probability of being greater than the mean is equal to the probability of being less than the mean, each being 0.5.